Note: this isn't the full picture; some people have been very helpful in pointing out stuff I've missed. Please continue to send in feedback, and I'll post an updated version in a couple of days.
I have been attempting to figure out what percentage of the net population will get the upcoming Firefox 3 (June 17th!) in their native language ("heart language"). We're doing 48 different localizations. I've attempted this before, but I have been limited by the quality of data available. No-one seems to have good statistics on the language breakdown of the net population.
So, I've taken net population figures for each country (232 of them; that number seems high, but I guess they have a generous definition of 'country') from the CIA World Factbook, and split them up by the language split in that country. This assumes, therefore, that the distribution of the net population in a country is in the same proportion to the languages spoken there. I'm sure for some countries that's a bad assumption, but I still think the resulting data is better than what I had before.
Here's a snapshot of the spreadsheet (.ods). Headline figures:
| Category | Count | % Coverage |
|---|---|---|
| Firefox 2 | 44 | 87.7% |
| Firefox 3 | 45 | 88.1% |
| Firefox 2 and 3 together | 48 | 89.2% |
| L10n projects with CVS access | 63 | 93.7% |
| All localizations found, including unofficial | 61 | 92.6% |
| IE 7 | 77 | 97.6% |
Methodological notes: Many figures estimated. Unknown speakers allocated proportionally among the languages for which there is a figure. I don't mean to insult anyone - if I've overlooked your localization, I apologise. Void where prohibited. Blame Canada.
OK, now the questions:
FF3 freezes when I click on the snapshot link...
Mandriva 2008.1
Gerv, they're not "language packs". We have full releases in all of those languages. Language packs are something you bolt on to a non-native release of Firefox.
A lot of work goes in to the integration that makes a full language release and calling them "language packs" will make people think you're discounting those efforts.
- A
Posted by: Asa Dotzler at June 12, 2008 4:19 PMAsa: it's just loose language, no more than that. I didn't mean to discount anyone. To be honest, I thought I'd get flak for combining the Portugueses and the Spanishes :-)
The question I was trying to answer was "can someone get the Firefox (or IE) UI in their language", regardless of the mechanism. So I lumped packs, addons, full builds, IE's MUI Packs and Language Interface packs all together in one, and called them "language packs". If there's a better description which covers all these things, tell me and I'll use it.
Paul: Works for me...
Posted by: Gerv at June 12, 2008 9:43 PMHmm. Perhaps "localizations" would do. Let's try that.
Posted by: Gerv at June 12, 2008 9:49 PMI answered yesterday to the post you put in the l10n group about this study.
Posted by: pascalc at June 12, 2008 11:17 PMWhat does the curve look like in terms of time to market? How long does it take for IE to get to their %age of coverage, vs. FF or other browsers?
Posted by: shaver at June 13, 2008 1:13 AMI know it doesn’t count, but Firefox did have a Vietnamese language pack, but it was pulled. A sanitized version has been uploaded to Bugzilla, but not approved yet as an extension.
Posted by: Minh Nguyễn at June 13, 2008 4:24 AMOpera 9.5 has just been released in 30 languages; they are at 84.8%.
shaver: You mean, how long after release, as opposed to our simultaneous release? According to the IE blogpost, it takes them 2-3 weeks to do Arabic, Finnish, French, German, Japanese, and Spanish, and up to four months for the rest. They don't give exact dates for each - if I could find files with valid dates on them, I could plot a curve.
Minh: You mean uploaded to addons.mozilla.org? It's a shame approval is taking so long. I wonder if that's a manpower thing. Perhaps now that we're code complete, some other people will be able to help.
Oops, sorry, 84.25%. I misread their download table. They don't have the latest version in Afrikaans or Punjabi yet.
Posted by: Gerv at June 13, 2008 8:02 AMIt would have been interesting if F3 Download Day's stats had been available by language, not just by country.
Posted by: Luistxo at June 19, 2008 6:45 AM