April 3, 2009

great expectations

I've put together a simple chart from Net Applications monthly browser report that shows absolute growth for the top 4 Web browsers over the last six months.

Firefox has been averaging about 5 points a year since its launch, so it's not at all surprising to see that this six month period shows Firefox picking up a little over 2 and 1/2 points.

Since its release, Safari's growth has been tied to Mac growth and so it's no surprise there either that line is trending consistently with Mac market growth.

I'm interested in what you all think about the other two browsers, especially any one from the Chrome or IE teams.

Is this in line with your expectations six months ago? We didn't have a track record for Chrome, but there were an awful lot of people writing Firefox's obituary when Chrome was released and more than a few articles and blog posts speculating that Chrome would surpass Firefox usage in short order.

The speculation wasn't quite as positive for IE, but with the IE 8 beta gaining rapidly, there were plenty of pundits that expected IE's share would stabilize and maybe even start taking share back from Firefox.

What were your predictions six months ago when Google "shook up the browser market" with the Chrome release? Is a 1 point per year growth trend what you all expected?

Posted by asa at 11:57 AM