mozilla market share

We're just a few days away from the NetApplications Browser Market Share Report for November. Last month, Firefox nosed up against 20% and Internet Explorer fell to just over 71%.

My prediction, based on the hourly and daily trends at NetApplications and the growth in the Firefox active daily user number we can see at Mozilla, is that we'll see Firefox break solidly through that 20% mark, probably landing somewhere between 20.4% and 20.6% for the month of November. If that holds, and Apple keeps up its gradual but consistent growth with Safari, we may see Internet Explorer fall under 70% market share for the first time ever.

But these numbers are spread across a huge number of sites located all around the globe. If you get more geographically specific, or tune into specific types of Web sites, they can change pretty dramatically.

Looking out a bit further, and looking back over the last 4 years or so, it's very clear that the make-up of the Web doesn't change overnight. It's taken a long time to get where we are and it's going to take some more years to get to where we all want to be.

That being said, wow. It sure is exciting.

What are your predictions for the November Net Applications numbers for the big three browsers? Where do you see things a year from now, or two or three years from now?

update: and just to preempt complains about not including Opera and Chrome, the Net Applications numbers for both Chrome and Opera are sub-1% and so it they just blurred out the X-axis of the graph and the Chrome numbers are too few and headed downward. They really aren't of any significance here.

Historical market share data comes from the NetApplications Browser Market Share Trend Report