January 24, 2005
the graphs (part 2)
This graph shows the total number of downloads each day since the release on November 9. These 76 days worth of downloads add up to the 20 million total you see in the graph below.
As you can see, we had an amazing first couple of days with about 2 million downloads. The first week after that averaged over 300,000 downloads per day. Since then, we've been moving between 210K and 270K daily averages.
Without better labels, it's not obvious which days are which but I can tell you from my larger version that the dips are happening around Friday and Saturday (weekends) and the peaks are happening mid-week. You can see the double-peaked section in the middle that sticks out some. That's the New York Times ad pulling the downloads up out of the slump they were in for the 10 days before.
Hope you all enjoy the data dump. One final note. These are taken from our total download numbers which includes all of our mirrors and includes all of the locales hosted by Mozilla and our mirror network. Right now I don't have good data on language breakdowns but I'll try to get a post up soon with some of my estimates.
Posted by asa at January 24, 2005 01:22 AM"we've been moving between 210K and 270K weekly"
I guess you meant "daily"...
In the weeks after the NYT ad, it seems to peak every 7 days ... are the downloads highest on the weekend?
Posted by: Joe Grossberg on January 24, 2005 08:30 AMJoe, actually, the peaks are on weedays with pretty substantial troughs on the weekends. It seems the weekend is Friday morning through about sunday morning. Tuesdays and Wednesdays are peaks. I'll try to get an improved graphic with dates along the x axis. I was in a hurry last night as it was about one o'clock in the morning and I was trying to put myself to bed. I couldn't find a way to squeeze in each day, but maybe a marker for every week or month would be sufficient.
--Asa
Posted by: Asa Dotzler on January 24, 2005 08:34 AMAlphhab, yeah. Thanks. It was late ;-) I've fixed it now.
--Asa
Posted by: Asa Dotzler on January 24, 2005 08:34 AMDoes anyone know where I could get raw data, for my own analysis? Though The graph is nice, it would be usefull if there were a data table somewhere with this data and possibly more, in numerical format. (I was going to make a graph formated to the style of my website) Also, you mention a 'larger' version of this graph, do you know where I might find it?
Thanks
-Alex
Alex, that data isn't available. I gather it up and build these graphs locally but we don't have any data repository to share yet. Maybe later in the year.
--Asa
Posted by: Asa Dotzler on January 24, 2005 05:07 PMI can't help but wonder what drives people to download it more often mid-week. My own downloading habits are basically to wait out the first few days (knowing that the servers will be swamped) and download it the next time it occurs to me. I've never noticed if this happens to be mid-week...
Thanks for keeping track of this stuff and posting it, Asa. It's always nice to see how things are going with the Mozilla projects (whether it's download numbers, development notes, release info, etc.).
Posted by: Kevin on January 24, 2005 06:21 PMWhat could be interesting is use an ip2geolocation service and try to graph were those downloads are coming from.
Posted by: jerome on January 25, 2005 12:18 AMs/were/where/
Posted by: jerome on January 25, 2005 12:19 AMAsa, couldn't you just post a CSV file just like to you post the picture ?
Or maybe this blog system dosn't handle atatchment...
Another cool thing I'll like to see is some basic xml file containing the total number of downlaod, so that people could dynamicly link to it to display their own counter on webpages mail sign...
Sounds cool, I'm posting this on speadfirefox as well to see what other think about it...
Forgot the link where I posted this idea on the "marketing idea" part of the spreadfirefox forum:
http://www.spreadfirefox.com/?q=node/view/10724
I ran asa's data through a graph analyzer and got a close approximation of the download data... then I put it in excel and raw text format, then added a 5-day moving average to make it easy for people to add to their own site... here they are
The gif image, including daily data and average...
FFX.gif
The excel file, including daily data and running total graphs...
FFX2.xls
The excel file, including daily data and average graphs...
FFX3.xls
The raw text, including everything...
FFX3.xls
- :G
Posted by: TechGeek on January 26, 2005 03:47 PMI ran asa's data through a graph analyzer and got a close approximation of the download data... then I put it in excel and raw text format, then added a 5-day moving average to make it easy for people to add to their own site... here they are...
sorry about what happened before... i used my old account... please delete it
Posted by: TechGeek on January 26, 2005 03:51 PM"I can't help but wonder what drives people to download it more often mid-week"
I wouldn't think too deeply about that in terms of Firefox. The site for the organisation I work for also has traffic that's low at weekends, and peaks in the middle of the week, and it's a site that'd generally be of interest for the personal lives of individuals. I think it's just the case, generally, that the internet is used more, both for business and personal reasons, during working days (and working hours, although the spread of timezones flattens that out for sites with international audiences).
Posted by: michaell on January 30, 2005 10:43 AM"I can't help but wonder what drives people to download it more often mid-week"
I would think the water cooler effect might come into play. Download on Tuesday, and by Sunday you think it is cute when FireFox sneezes on you. Love is blind. You brag about the hottie you scored last week on Monday morning and your friends want to know if she has any friends. And they get around to plugging in the IP (number) you gave them mid-week.
Posted by: john powell on January 30, 2005 06:46 PM